Federal Reserve2026-02-06
Economy
Comprehensive economic data, Federal Reserve policy analysis, and macroeconomic trends affecting financial markets.
Key Economic Indicators
GDP Growth (Q4)
3.2%
▲Previous: 2.8%
Inflation (CPI YoY)
2.4%
▼Previous: 2.7%
Unemployment Rate
3.7%
▼Previous: 3.8%
Fed Funds Rate
4.50-4.75%
▼Previous: 4.75-5.00%
Non-Farm Payrolls
+225K
▲Previous: +185K
Consumer Confidence
108.5
▲Previous: 105.2
10-Year Treasury
4.28%
▼Previous: 4.35%
Retail Sales (MoM)
+0.6%
▲Previous: +0.3%
Economic News
Inflation2026-02-05
January CPI Shows Inflation Cooling to 2.4% Annual Rate
Employment2026-02-04
U.S. Economy Adds 225K Jobs, Beating Expectations
Consumer2026-02-03
Consumer Spending Remains Resilient Despite Rate Environment
Housing2026-02-02
Housing Market Shows Signs of Recovery as Rates Decline
Manufacturing2026-02-01
Manufacturing PMI Returns to Expansion Territory
Trade2026-01-31
Trade Deficit Narrows on Strong Export Growth
GDP2026-01-30
Q4 GDP Growth Revised Up to 3.2%, Above Estimates
Fed Watch
The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at 4.50-4.75% at its January meeting. Fed Chair Powell indicated that the committee is monitoring incoming data closely and sees a path toward rate reductions if inflation continues to moderate.
Markets are currently pricing in a 68% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the March meeting, up from 45% a week ago. The dovish pivot has supported equity markets and pushed Treasury yields lower across the curve.